Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.45
	2.9	3.25	2.41	Watch
	2.78	3.55	2.52
	3.04	3.35	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.76)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
32.4%

Draw
28.4%

Darmstadt
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 4. Gaal T. 5. Reichert J. (C) 32. Strompf P. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 21. Batista Meier O. 9. Roser L. 33. Higl F.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 3. Bueno G. 21. Papela M. 16. Muller A. 10. Boetius J-P. 8. Marseiler L. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
11. Chessa D. 38. Hyrylainen L. 22. Kahvic A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 43. Rosch R. 12. Seybold M. (G) 29. Telalovic S.	30. Brunst A. (G) 18. Forster P. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 15. Nurnberger F. 13. Thiede M.
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Roser L. ⚽, Allgeier B. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Batista Meier O. ⚽, Gaal T. (A),
62', Lopez S. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
62', Boetius J-P. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
63', Papela M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Lakenmacher F. ⚽, Bueno G. (A),
69', Keller A. 🟨,
75', Roser L. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
75', Brandt M. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
75', Bueno G. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
75', Papela M. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
77', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
81', Strompf P. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
88', Higl F. 🟨,
90', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
90', Higl F. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
90+1', Kahvic A. 🟨,
90+4', Thiede N. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ulm: Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Hornby F. (Red Card) Klefisch K. (Groin Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ulm: Geyer T. (Illness)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Marseiler L. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLTT
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Köln - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.24	Darmstadt - Ulm 1846	1:1

Upcoming Matches