Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ulsan Citizen		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.40	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.20	1.98
	4.20	3.50	1.86
	3.59	3.29	2.09
	4.01	3.59	1.85	Watch
	3.50	3.25	2.06	Watch
	3.48	3.58	2.06	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.85)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
25.8%

Draw
27.4%

Gwangju
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.2%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

23%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Ulsan Citizen - Gwangju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Lee S. (G) 26. Kang M. 3. Kim J. 13. Kim Ki-Young 5. Kim Min-Gi 12. Kim Y. 9. Lee Gi-Un 11. Lee K. 8. Park D. (C) 24. Shin Seong-hak 10. Yun D.	23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 50. Ba Loua A. 9. Ha Seung-Un 20. Im Seung-Kyum 21. Kim Jong-Suk 70. Kim Woo-jin 25. Kim Yun-ho 3. Lee Min-Ki 39. Min Sang-Gi (C) 28. Seong Hyun P. 14. Yu Je-Ho
Substitutes
. Boo S. . Kim D. . Kim J. . Kim T. . Kim Yu-sung (G) . Lee Han-sae . Lee J. . Park Sang-hyun . Seo J.	. Chang H. 99. Hong Yong-Jun 2. Jang Seok-Hwan . Jeong H. . Jeong J. 8. Ju Se-Jong 24. Kim Y. 71. Lee Yoon-sung (G) 7. Saitoski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ba Loua A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Ulsan Citizen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gwangju is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gwangju is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 K4 League Cup
14.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
26.07.26	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Seoul E-Land	4:2 AET ✺
South Korean K3 League
10.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 LWLWW
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Bucheon - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gwangju - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Gwangju - Jeju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWL

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