Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Ulsan Citizen		Yangju Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	1.95	3.15	3.5
	1.99	3.32	3.82
	1.98	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
46.1%

Draw
28.4%

Yangju Citizen
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Ulsan Citizen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Ulsan Citizen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yangju Citizen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ulsan Citizen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ulsan Citizen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulsan Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
16.04.23	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW
- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
22.04.23	Yangju Citizen - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Siheung - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Cheonan City - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
22.10.22	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
09.04.22	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	0:1
22.08.21	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:1
17.04.21	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	2:0

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