Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Yangpyeong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.76	2.95	2.93
	2.49	2.77	3.07	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.75
	2.65	2.98	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 (2.61)	2.84 (2.84)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
35.4%

Draw
32.5%

Yangpyeong
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Yangpyeong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Ulsan Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28
13	Yangpyeong	23	3	8	12	28:45	-17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ulsan Citizen - Jeonbuk 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLT
- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Pocheon - Yangpyeong	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Siheung - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yangpyeong - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.10.25	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:1
15.06.25	Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen	2:0
28.06.24	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	3:2
03.03.24	Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen	0:2
11.11.23	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:0
17.06.23	Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen	1:1

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