Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Ulsan HD		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	2	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.4
	2.12	3.5	3.62
	2.05	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.36)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)	3.59 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
46.2%

Draw
27.7%

Beijing Guoan
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

20.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulsan HD's performance.

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulsan HD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.9%	11.1%

Ulsan HD - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 27 - 75%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Al Janoub Stadium. No spectators.

Ulsan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Beijing Guoan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Beijing Guoan have a series of home games.

Ulsan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
AFC Champions League
06.12.20	Ulsan HD - Melbourne Victory	3:0 ✺
03.12.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:4 ✺
30.11.20	Tokyo - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Ulsan HD - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
24.11.20	Perth Glory - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League
06.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
03.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
02.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.11.20	Beijing Guoan - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
28.11.20	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WTLWW

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