Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Shanghai Shenhua		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.18	3.55	2.92	Watch
	2.31	3.6	3.01
	2.01	3.55	3.39	Watch
	2.26	3.67	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	3.08 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
43.1%

Draw
26.3%

Ulsan HD
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ulsan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ulsan (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Ulsan (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Shanghai Shenhua (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 25%). Ulsan (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 17. Gao Tianyi 23. Yennaris N. 15. Wu Xi (C) 10. Teixeira J. 34. Liu Chengyu 19. Asue L.	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 17. Ludwigson G. 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 7. Ko Seung-Beom 26. Park Min-Seo 97. Erick Farias 36. Lacava M. 72. Baek In-Woo
Substitutes
30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 45. Han Jiawen 3. Jin Shunkai 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Q. 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 20. Yu Hanchao 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)	6. Bojanic D. 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 18. Heo Yool 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 5. Jung Woo-Young 13. Kang Sang-Woo 27. Lee Chung-Yong 16. Lee H. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 23. Moon Jung-In (G) 66. Trojak M. 11. Um Won-Sang
Coaches
Slutski L.	Shin Tae-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Asue L. ⚽,
60', Seo Myung-Guan 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Ludwigson G. ⚽, Ko Seung-Beom (A),
65', Liu Chengyu ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
65', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
65', Lacava M. ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
65', Erick Farias ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
74', Park Min-Seo ↓, Bojanic D. ↑,
75', Choi Seok-Hyun 🟨,
81', Ludwigson G. ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
81', Kim Young-Gwon ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,
84', Asue L. ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
84', Chan Shinichi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanghai Shenhua is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
26.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	6:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WTLTL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ulsan HD - Anyang	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.25	Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.12.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:2
03.12.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:4
21.11.20	Ulsan HD - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1

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