Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.60	1.73
	3.85	3.6	1.75
	3.66	3.76	1.83
	3.76	3.91	1.83	Watch
	3.5	3.65	1.79
	3.8	4.16	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.12)	3.78 ↓ (4.12)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
24.6%

Draw
24.2%

Hammarby TFF
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hammarby TFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (+4%)

Umeå - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Umeå (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Umeå (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 3. Andersson R. 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. (C) 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 17. Forsman S. 8. Godwin F. 23. Johansson I. 2. Linden N. 25. Njie M. 15. Wagnsson S.	1. Opancar E. (G) 19. Andren G. 5. Dwomoh R. 4. Eklund C. 23. Ek N. 16. Elezaj G. 10. Hana G. 7. Moczarny O. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I. 21. Oreland J.
Substitutes
9. Hadad R. 5. Hakansson N. 20. Hassan H. 22. Lindgren T. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 7. Sandstrom A. 19. Shakir A.	22. Berge O. 13. Camara A. 3. Ekstam E. 9. George E. 15. Gibson W. 14. Krasniqi L. 35. Nyberg G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Forsman S. ⚽, Njie M. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Ek N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Sandstrom A. ⚽, Ekman D. (A),
77', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Umeå may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Hammarby TFF is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Umeå has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:13 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Umeå against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Stocksund - Umeå	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Umeå - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Arlanda - Hammarby TFF	4:2 ✺
17.09.26	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Sollentuna	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Hammarby TFF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.04.26	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2
21.09.24	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	1:2
12.05.24	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2
01.10.23	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	0:1
13.05.23	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	3:2
14.08.22	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	3:4
10.04.22	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	0:2

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