Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Umeå		Notvikens

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.75	3.1
	1.9	3.35	3.25
	1.98	3.55	3.42
	1.94	3.62	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.57 ↓ (3.74)	3.29 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
47.1%

Draw
25.4%

Notvikens
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

16.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Notvikens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notvikens than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notvikens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Umeå - Notvikens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Umeå will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.10.21	Umeå - Gefle	2:1 ✺
11.10.21	Piteå - Umeå	4:4 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
09.10.21	IFK Östersunds - Umeå	0:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.21	Umeå - Hudiksvall	1:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.10.21	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTL
- Notvikens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
09.10.21	Ytterhogdal - Notvikens	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Notvikens - Ytterhogdal	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Notvikens - Gottne	3:0 ✺
18.09.21	IFK Östersunds - Notvikens	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Täfteå - Notvikens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.09.20	Umeå - Notvikens	5:4

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