Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 12

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		Piteå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.20	4.60
	1.42	4.40	5.60	Watch
	1.53	4.43	4.71
	1.57	4.42	4.85	Watch
	1.53	3.90	4.60
	1.50	4.30	5.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	4.28 ↓ (4.45)	4.89 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
60.2%

Draw
21.3%

Piteå
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Umeå - Piteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pihlblad L. (G) 4. Bangala D. 16. Bawa Z. 14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 2. Linden N. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Olawore E.	31. Eriksson F. (G) 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 28. Jordan L. 5. Kavur B. 20. Lindgren A. 23. Lindgren L. 2. Millbert H. (C) 7. Muyenga A. 19. Wikstrom I.
Substitutes
17. Forsman S. 20. Hassan H. 23. Johansson I. 24. Johansson V. 30. Remahl L. (G) 27. Rhodin F. 12. Yeboah E.	8. Berglund C. 21. Bergstrom H. 17. Berntzen T. 22. Lundmark O. 11. Mujaguzi C. 99. Svard L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bawa Z. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Hadad R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Lindgren L. ↓, Berglund C. ↑,
67', Muyenga A. ↓, Bergstrom H. ↑,
80', Mujaguzi C. 🟨,
86', Hadad R. ↓, Rhodin F. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Umeå is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Umeå won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.06.26	Sollentuna - Umeå	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Umeå - Karlstad	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Umeå	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Umeå	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLTW
- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.06.26	Piteå - Enköping	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Piteå - Stockholm Internazionale	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sollentuna - Piteå	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Stocksund - Piteå	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.08.24	Umeå - Piteå	3:0
31.05.24	Piteå - Umeå	0:0
05.10.23	Piteå - Umeå	3:0
16.06.23	Umeå - Piteå	1:0
10.08.22	Piteå - Umeå	3:1
17.06.22	Umeå - Piteå	2:1
11.10.21	Piteå - Umeå	4:4

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