Match Info

Superettan - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.92	3.7	2.18	Watch
	3.06	4.01	2.14
	3.70	3.82	1.81	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.7)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	2.12 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
30.5%

Draw
24.9%

Varbergs BoIS
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umeå's performance.

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varbergs BoIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varbergs BoIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Umeå - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Varberg will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Umeå (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Varberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 23. Frigell Jansson L. 5. Hedenquist J. 4. Ohman L. 15. Westin T. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 32. Voilas J. 10. Bjorgolfsson E.	29. Andersson F. (G) 8. Liljenback A. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 13. Edlund O. 21. Vidjeskog I. 22. Loukili Z. 11. Mohudin N. A. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 42. Kabuye C.
Substitutes
14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 73. Forsman S. 25. Gronborg T. 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 12. Yeboah E.	4. Dahlstrom N. 19. Onnebo N. S. 1. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 23. Tokich M. 25. Wiklund A. 5. Winbo A.
Coaches
Sjostrom J.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Tellgren E. ⚽,
35', Olsson T. 🟨,
37', Hellman E. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Voilas J. (A),
44', Loukili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Lindmark S. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Vidjeskog I. ⚽,
64', Persson D. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
70', Loukili Z. ↓, Winbo A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Cederblad E. ⚽, Frigell Jansson L. (A),
77', Jonasson Westermark J. ↓, Tokich M. ↑,
85', Yiriyon Yaw G. 🟨,
86', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
87', Edlund O. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
87', Mohudin N. A. ↓, Dahlstrom N. ↑,
89', Frigell Jansson L. ↓, Martiatu Nordeman A. ↑,
89', Lindmark S. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varberg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
19.10.25	Landskrona - Umeå	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Umeå - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1 ✺
25.09.25	Umeå - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Östersund - Umeå	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLL
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
18.10.25	Varbergs BoIS - Sandviken	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Umeå	4:0
21.10.12	Umeå - Varbergs BoIS	1:2

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