Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 25

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)


	Umraniyespor		Altay

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.37	4.7	6.7
	1.38	4.9	8.32
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.36	4.8	7.46
	1.35	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.73 ↓ (4.82)	7.25 ↓ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
67.8%

Draw
19.5%

Altay
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18.5%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Umraniyespor - Altay Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Altay will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Damlu A. (G) 22. Yildiz U. 90. Popov S. 97. Cavare D. 44. Glumac T. 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. 6. Mert M. 14. Demir E. 27. Bulut E. 58. Cukur T.	1. Ozenc O. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 44. Altunbudak K. 5. Ozdemir S. 3. Tekin Y. 21. Kizilkuyu A. 6. Gulselam C. 23. Demir M. 28. Gunduz M. 7. Erdogan E. 34. Ogruce E.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 17. Arici B. 20. Ayaroglu H. 11. Ayik O. 3. Cofie I. 91. Diniyev C. 4. Eser M. 7. Okutan M. 9. Saponjic I. 2. Titebah N.	30. Baycan C. 45. Caliskan M. (G) 4. Colak H. 77. Efe O. 32. Gezer A. 25. Gundem T. 99. Kucukdeniz N. 24. Ozcam E. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E.
Coaches
Gencer O.	Bicer C.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Umraniyespor is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Umraniyespor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
24.02.24	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Umraniyespor - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
09.02.24	Çorum - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLT
- Altay SK
Turkish First League
23.02.24	Altay - Giresunspor	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Bodrumspor - Altay	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Altay - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Göztepe - Altay	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Altay - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.10.23	Altay - Umraniyespor	0:3
01.05.21	Umraniyespor - Altay	0:1
25.12.20	Altay - Umraniyespor	3:1
18.01.20	Umraniyespor - Altay	1:0
18.08.19	Altay - Umraniyespor	1:3
20.01.19	Umraniyespor - Altay	2:3
11.08.18	Altay - Umraniyespor	1:0

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