Match Info

Date: 18 February 2022, Friday


	União de Santarém		Leiria

	1	X	2
	7.75	4	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.4	4.2	1.4
	8.75	4.17	1.41
	6.85	4.5	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↓ (9.95)	4.21 ↓ (4.98)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
12.6%

Draw
21.7%

Leiria
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.4%

18.8%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

8.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Santarém, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-34.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União de Santarém - Leiria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

União de Santarém is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Leiria is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)

União de Santarém is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiria is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leiria is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
13.02.22	Amora - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	União de Santarém - Alverca	0:3 ✺
29.01.22	Cova De Piedade - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
24.01.22	União de Santarém - Setúbal	4:1 ✺
20.01.22	Setúbal - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWL
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - Leiria	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Oriental Dragon - Leiria	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Leiria - Amora	3:0 ✺
07.01.22	Leiria - Cova De Piedade	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.11.21	Leiria - União de Santarém	2:1

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