Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	União de Tomar		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	6	3.75	1.5
	6.39	3.65	1.54
	6.39	3.65	1.55
	6.37	3.72	1.49
	6	3.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (5.26)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Tomar
14.8%

Draw
24.8%

Alverca B
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

26.4%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

19.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Tomar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alverca B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Tomar is Relegated to

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

In this match Alverca B is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.03.24	Mortágua - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Marinhense - União de Tomar	5:1 ✺
11.02.24	União de Tomar - Peniche	2:4 ✺
04.02.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Tomar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.03.24	Alverca B - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	União de Santarém - Alverca B	3:1 ✺
14.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.11.23	Alverca B - União de Tomar	5:1

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