Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.45	2.85	2.18
	3.35	2.9	2.15
	3.64	2.97	2.21
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.44	3.05	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.2 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
27.5%

Draw
31.2%

Ceuta
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

32.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Adarve's form might have worsened.

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Adarve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Adarve - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Unión Adarve is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Adarve could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.22	Unión Adarve - Hércules	1:1 ET ✺
15.05.22	Unión Adarve - Llanera	3:4 ✺
08.05.22	Marino de Luanco - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Unión Adarve - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Bergantiños - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.05.22	Navalcarnero - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.05.22	Ceuta - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
01.05.22	Ceuta - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Antequera - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLTL

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