Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.88	3.25	2.25
	3	3	2.25
	3.26	2.85	2.46
	3	2.88	2.25
	2.94	3.13	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.97)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)	2.3 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
30.1%

Draw
30.2%

Ceuta
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

28.3%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

29.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Navalcarnero - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navalcarnero will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.05.22	Navalcarnero - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Arenteiro - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
01.05.22	Navalcarnero - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:4 ✺
17.04.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.05.22	Ceuta - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
01.05.22	Ceuta - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Antequera - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Ceuta - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLW

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