Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.92	2.99	2.52
	2.92	2.95	2.52
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.9	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
31.9%

Draw
30.3%

Numancia
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Unión Adarve - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Numancia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión Adarve could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.11.23	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Llerenense - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Adarve - Montijo	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Numancia - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Villanovense - Numancia	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWW

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