Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Mensajero		Numancia

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.82
	4.5	3.1	1.87
	4.71	3.04	1.89
	4.71	3.04	1.86
	4.45	3.18	1.78
	4.4	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.79)	3.11 ↓ (3.49)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
20.6%

Draw
29.5%

Numancia
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mensajero has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Mensajero - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Mensajero - Atlético Paso	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Llerenense - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Numancia - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Villanovense - Numancia	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Numancia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Illescas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.10.26	Real Ávila - Numancia	✺

Mensajero - Numancia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide