Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Villanovense		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.4	2.88	2.29
	3.4	2.88	2.29
	3.2	3.02	2.18
	3.25	3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
28.1%

Draw
30.8%

Numancia
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.9%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

30.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Villanovense - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villanovense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.10.23	Illescas - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Villanovense - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Llerenense - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Villanovense - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Villanovense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Numancia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Illescas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Numancia - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLW

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