Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4
	1.9	3	3.7
	2	3.2	3.75
	2.02	2.93	3.45
	1.97	3.02	4.3
	1.7	3.2	4.4
	1.96	3.14	4
	2	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	3.92 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
47.1%

Draw
29.7%

UD San Fernando
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Adarve's form might have worsened.

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Adarve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Unión Adarve is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Adarve could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión Adarve is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Adarve won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Adarve - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Unión Adarve - Mensajero	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	Getafe B - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Getafe B - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.09.23	UD San Fernando - Unión Adarve	1:1

Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide