Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.6
	2.1	3	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.9
	2.04	3.08	3.9
	1.97	3.04	3.76
	2.03	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
45.3%

Draw
30.4%

UD San Fernando
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+2%)

Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Navalcarnero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
26.11.23	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTL
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTLL

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