Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 2

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)


	Unión Comercio		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.00	3.25
	2.02	2.88	3.70
	2.05	2.89	3.68
	2.37	2.79	3.46
	1.95	3.20	3.40
	2.07	3.31	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	3.5 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
43.6%

Draw
30.3%

Comerciantes Belén
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Comercio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, Villanueva C. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Unión Comercio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Unión Comercio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Unión Comercio	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Unión Comercio - Pirata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
22.05.26	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Unión Minas - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
24.08.25	Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio	0:1
20.07.25	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	2:0
29.06.25	Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio	2:1
11.05.25	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	2:1

Upcoming Matches