Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 12

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Unión Española		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.05
	2.16	3.44	3.14
	2.19	3.56	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.16	3.47	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	3.07 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
42.7%

Draw
27.3%

Deportes Iquique
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Unión Española - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 21. Pereira S. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. (C) 30. Cordero R. 25. Ovando T. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 20. Wassenne M.	12. Castillo D. (C) 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 26. Ledesma F. 21. Espinoza F. 5. Concha V. 23. Pereyra J. 18. Garrido B. 8. Venezia A. 24. Barrera B. 31. Diaz I.
Substitutes
3. Alarcon R. 15. Droguett B. 22. Nunez A. 16. Ormeno M. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G) 7. Vasquez R.	19. Arias D. 16. Contreras S. 7. Gonzalez I. 27. Henriquez A. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 33. Tello D. 28. Troncoso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Venezia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Pereira S. ⚽,
55', Venezia A. 🟨,
55', Roco B. 🟨,
64', Barrera B. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
66', Cordero R. ↓, Droguett B. ↑,
66', Ovando T. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
72', Celis M. 🟨,
76', Celis M. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
83', Espinoza F. ↓, Tello D. ↑,
83', Pereyra J. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
87', Ledesma F. 🟨,
88', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Ormeno M. ↑,
90+1', Venezia A. 🟨,
90+2', Vasquez R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.

Unión Española is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Deportes Iquique has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unión Española is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Iquique - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.05.26	Deportes Temuco - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Unión Española - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
15.08.25	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:2
16.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	0:4
09.11.24	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	2:0
01.06.24	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	4:3
08.12.20	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	1:1
26.01.20	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	3:2
28.09.19	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	4:0

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