Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.55
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.61	3.14	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.56	3.04	2.57
	2.5	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.63 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
36.1%

Draw
29.2%

Palestino
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Unión Española - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 8. Carvallo U. B. A. 18. Espinoza F. 6. Jauregui B. 11. Montes C. 24. Norambuena G. 14. Nunez I. (C) 7. Ovelar F. 13. Pereira S. 26. Roco B. 19. Vejar B.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 19. Araya M. 18. Arias J. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 5. Fernandez J. 23. Leon J. 42. Meza F. 8. Parra P. 24. Salgado D. 13. Suarez C. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Substitutes
22. Aranguiz P. 21. Diaz N. 23. Jeraldino I. 20. Marin M. 5. Nadruz A. 16. Ramirez S. 25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 10. Uribe A. 15. Vasquez R.	14. Abrigo J. 11. Benitez J. 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 27. Marabel J. 10. Martinez Arce A. E. 17. Martin M. 6. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Pereira S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Espinoza F. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
46', Carvallo U. B. A. ↓, Aranguiz P. ↑,
46', Pereira S. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
50', Parra P. 🟨,
59', Araya M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
59', Salgado D. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
62', Montes C. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
62', Ovelar F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
63', Parra P. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
63', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Jeraldino I. ⚽,
75', Benitez J. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Jauregui B. ⚽, Marin M. (A),
81', Marin M. 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Jauregui B. (A),
90+2', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
90+2', Leon J. 🟨,
90+4', Diaz N. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Unión Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:33 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:18 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	GVCD San José - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTWW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Mushuc Runa - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.03.25	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Deportes Concepción - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Palestino - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
21.02.25	Unión Española - Palestino	0:3
Chilean Cup
01.02.25	Unión Española - Palestino	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
02.11.24	Unión Española - Palestino	2:3
24.05.24	Palestino - Unión Española	0:1
23.09.23	Palestino - Unión Española	2:1
19.03.23	Unión Española - Palestino	2:0
02.07.22	Palestino - Unión Española	1:0

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