Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Unión Huaral		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	2.95
	1.87	3.81	3.25
	2.02	4.05	2.91
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.65)	3.83 ↑ (3.79)	3.09 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Huaral
46.9%

Draw
23.7%

Ayacucho
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Huaral's form might have worsened.

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayacucho's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayacucho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Huaral - Ayacucho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Romero N. (G) 35. Ardiles R. (C) 9. Caraza K. 7. Chinga R. 20. Gutierrez J. 15. Lopez M. 30. Marina J. 25. Serrano B. 5. Tuesta J. 11. Ubierna B. 2. Zamalloa F.	21. Ccorahua A. (G) 11. Barboza S. 8. De la Cruz P. 44. Kesiel d. S. 27. Leon B. 30. Loayza G. 90. Rios M. 13. Rodriguez L. 9. Sanchez G. 16. Vilchez J. 24. Zevallos J. (C)
Substitutes
8. Aragon J. 19. Carrillo A. 16. Chavez L. 27. Cruz Llalle A. F. 32. Gamarra Canales E. J. (G) 4. Santa Cruz A. 23. Valladolid J.	33. Correa M. 18. Espinoza D. 23. Gomez F. 22. Hilario J. 29. Meza R. 7. Molina B. 1. Palomino F. (G)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Unión Huaral is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ayacucho is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Unión Huaral is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
04.08.23	Carlos Stein - Unión Huaral	3:3 ✺
29.07.23	Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLTT
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
03.08.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	3:2 ✺
26.07.23	Ayacucho - Los Chankas	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
12.07.23	Ayacucho - Deportivo Coopsol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
20.05.23	Ayacucho - Unión Huaral	0:1

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