Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 4

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)


	Unión La Calera		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.68	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.76	3.5	2.57
	2.64	3.41	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.64	3.34	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (1.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.68)	2.55 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
35.6%

Draw
27.9%

Ñublense
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Unión La Calera - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Unión La Calera (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 6. Caseres R. 27. Gutierrez D. 4. Gutierrez C. 24. Requena J. 29. Soto J. 10. Mendez K. 11. Saez S. (C) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F.	1. Perez N. (G) 18. Cespedes D. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 8. Graciani G. 21. Reyes L. (C) 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 20. Jeraldino I. 10. Plaza M. 22. Valdes A.
Substitutes
19. Campos M. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 17. Hiriart M. 8. Leiva Y. 5. Moya C. 3. Palma N. 2. Saldias J. 14. Villanueva C.	29. Avalos G. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 3. Salomon C. 16. Sanhueza D.
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Graciani G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Cespedes D. 🟨,
63', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
63', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
63', Soto J. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
63', Mendez K. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
71', Oyarzo Munoz B. 🟨,
71', Plaza M. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
77', Rivera M. 🟨,
81', Rivera M. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
81', Valdes A. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
88', Pozzo F. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
88', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Molina Canto L. ⚽,
90+1', Molina Canto L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 3.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
15.02.26	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Unión La Calera - Cobresal	3:1 ✺
02.02.26	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
15.02.26	Ñublense - Audax Italiano	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ñublense - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Palestino - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ñublense - Cobresal	5:0 ✺
01.12.25	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
26.10.25	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	3:0
04.05.25	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	1:1
29.09.24	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	0:1
05.05.24	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	2:1
15.08.23	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	1:1
26.02.23	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	1:1
10.07.22	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	2:2

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