Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 4

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)


	Ñublense		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.45	6.5
	1.45	4.5	6.77
	1.30	5.18	9.01	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.39	4.3	6.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.85)	4.53 ↑ (3.15)	7.09 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
66.7%

Draw
20.4%

Cobresal
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobresal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ñublense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ñublense - Cobresal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 4. Bosso Torres O. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 18. Cespedes D. 8. Graciani G. 35. Mansilla C. 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 21. Reyes L. 19. Tapia I. 15. Valencia S.	12. Santander A. (G) 15. Castillo A. 35. Contreras M. 32. Frias F. 31. Leyton D. 18. Moreno C. 23. Pacheco G. 4. Sandoval R. 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B. 3. Villarroel B.
Substitutes
29. Avalos G. 23. Gonzalez J. 20. Jeraldino I. 25. Munoz H. (G) 10. Plaza M. 28. Rivera M. 3. Salomon C. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.	26. Belmar V. 2. Fuentes A. 34. Gajardo A. 28. Moreno B. 30. Pinos J. (G) 24. Ramirez B. 29. Ramis O. 27. Roki M. 21. Sepulveda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Valenzuela B. 🟨,
15', Contreras M. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
17', Leyton D. 🟨,
28', Reyes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leyton D. ↓, Ramis O. ↑,
49', Ramis O. 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Graciani G. ⚽,
68', Frias F. ↓, Roki M. ↑,
68', Valencia E. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
78', Tapia I. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
79', Rami F. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', Pacheco G. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.

Ñublense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobresal is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ñublense is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWTW
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.26	Everton de Viña - Cobresal	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cobresal - OHiggins	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Ñublense - Cobresal	5:0
22.06.25	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1
14.09.24	Ñublense - Cobresal	1:0
20.04.24	Cobresal - Ñublense	2:2
06.08.23	Ñublense - Cobresal	1:2
18.02.23	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1

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