Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)


	Unión La Calera		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.50
	2.52	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.61	3.62	2.63
	2.6	3.49	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.6
	2.61	3.55	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
36.7%

Draw
26.9%

Deportes Limache
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Limache (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 15. Salomoni J. 6. Lavin V. 4. Gutierrez C. 23. Perez R. 10. Mendez K. 32. Ferreyra B. 17. Hiriart M. 5. Moya C. 11. Saez S. (C)	17. Gonzalez C. (G) 33. Escobar D. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 11. Rojas J. 27. Galletto T. 25. Llanten M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 26. Arturia M. 16. Jean David 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 19. Campos M. 20. Cruz J. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 8. Leiva Y. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 3. Palma N. 9. Pozzo F. 13. Valero P.	5. Alfonzo A. 15. Alvarez V. 32. Carcamo V. 23. Cesar (G) 4. Flores M. 6. Fuentes C. 14. Martinez H. 21. Moya F. 9. Sosa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ferreyra B. ⚽, Mendez K. (A),
19', Galletto T. 🟨,
29', Diaz C. 🟨,
43', Mendez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Llanten M. 🟨,
59', Llanten M. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
65', Hiriart M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
70', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
71', Ferreyra B. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
71', Moya C. ↓, Andia Leon Y. W. ↑,
73', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
73', Galletto T. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
88', Rojas J. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
88', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
90+3', Castro D. 🟨,
90+3', Perez R. 🟨,
90+4', Saez S. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,

Preview

Unión La Calera is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Limache's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Limache has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Unión La Calera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Limache - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
06.09.26	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
07.09.26	Deportes Limache - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Deportes Limache - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Deportes Limache - Everton de Viña	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
04.04.26	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	4:0
30.11.25	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	0:1
13.06.25	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	0:1

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