Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Unión Magdalena		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.26
	1.94	3.47	3.78	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.02	3.24	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)	3.31 ↓ (3.37)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
45.6%

Draw
27.8%

Internacional de Palmira
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Inter Palmira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Magdalena: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Acevedo H. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 7. Carreno A. 22. Giraldo J. (C) 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. 18. Molina F. 5. Penaloza J. 16. Surmay O. 20. Vasquez J.	22. Cuesta W. (G) 13. Angulo J. 4. Ariza Y. 9. Brochero R. 78. Caicedo M. 10. Cardona J. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 18. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 80. Suarez H.
Substitutes
2. Ballesteros M. 28. Franco S. 15. Narvaez L. 6. Ortiz D. 11. Palacios J. 24. Quintero B. 25. Sagrera W. 66. Tasso M. (G) 13. Vergara M.	28. Abonia J. 8. Franco Bustillo C. A. 21. Moreno J. 11. Padilla Kevin 1. Perez A. (G) 29. Ramirez C. 32. Viveros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Cardona J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Orozco D. ⚽,
45+3', Cardona J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Cardona J. ↓, Franco Bustillo C. A. ↑,
61', 🟨,
64', Cuesta W. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
64', Brochero R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
67', Mera D. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
67', Iguaran C. ↓, Narvaez L. ↑,
75', Angulo J. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,
75', Mosquera J. ↓, Padilla Kevin ↑,
83', Lerma J. 🟨,
86', Carreno A. ↓, Franco S. ↑,
86', Lerma J. ↓, Ballesteros M. ↑,
90', Surmay O. ↓, Quintero B. ↑,
90+4', Penaloza J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Unión Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4.

Unión Magdalena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Inter Palmira is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Inter Palmira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión Magdalena is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Inter Palmira	11	4	2	5	8:12	-4	14
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
09.04.26	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	4:2 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
30.03.26	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Tigres	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Leones - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
21.09.24	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	1:0
19.04.24	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	0:2
Colombian Primera A
10.09.22	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2
18.03.22	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	0:2
Colombian Primera B
10.03.22	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2 penalties
10.08.21	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	2:0
22.03.21	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	1:0

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