Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Atlético Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.05	3.95
	1.78	3.21	4.48
	1.93	2.99	4.40	Watch
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.75	3.18	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	4.4 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
49.9%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Santa Cruz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Unión Molinense - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
83', 🟥,
84', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Molinense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Cruz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Molinense is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.02.26	Santomera - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cieza - Unión Molinense	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Unión Molinense - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW
- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.02.26	Muleño - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:4 ✺
18.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Santomera	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cieza	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Bala Azul - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW

Unión Molinense - Atlético Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide