The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 34.8%
Draw 30.5%
Deportes Puerto Montt 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29.5%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
30.2%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 8. Palmieri N. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 28. Jara I. 14. Riveros B. 18. Munoz P.
29. Collao G. (G) 2. Morales A. 5. Calisto F. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 6. Diaz D. 14. Cardenas J. 16. Flores J. 28. Perez S. 9. Vazquez L. 34. Gonzalez K.
Substitutes
9. Aravena B. 21. Brun N. 12. Canete L. (G) 17. Diaz R. 16. Fuentes D. 25. Sanchez V. 19. Serrano K.
20. Bahamonde D. 7. Clerveaux M. 31. Nanning C. 17. Nieto B. 35. Rojas L. A. 13. Ureta L. (G) 10. Vargas C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guajardo Barrera B. ↓, Serrano K. ↑,
46', Gonzalez K. ↓, Rojas L. A. ↑,
58', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Aravena B. ↑,
59', Flores J. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
66', Perez S. ↓, Clerveaux M. ↑,
66', Jara I. ↓, Brun N. ↑,
87', Munoz P. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
88', Palmieri N. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
90+2', Rojas L. A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Garcia L. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 1.
Recent form of Unión San Felipe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Puerto Montt has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
Chile
Watch
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Fernandez A. (G) 
Perales V. 
Brun N. 
Clerveaux M. 
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