Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.15	3.3
	2.12	3.32	3.49
	2.15	3.28	3.33	Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	3.28	3.48
	2.02	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
43.6%

Draw
29%

Deportes Puerto Montt
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Rangers de Talca - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 13. Mora A. 5. Silva S. 27. Servetti C. 3. Vasquez K. 24. Gomez T. 14. Acuna S. (C) 20. Moya G. 7. Ibanez I. 31. Munoz C. 19. Gonzalez D.	29. Collao G. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 17. Nieto B. 14. Cardenas J. 16. Flores J. 23. Castillo G. 9. Vazquez L. 11. Castro R. 34. Gonzalez K.
Substitutes
6. Cortes M. 25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 4. Navarrete J. 9. Ribas S. 18. Rodriguez A. 34. Valenzuela J. 11. Vicuna M.	5. Calisto F. 7. Clerveaux M. 28. Perez S. 3. Pino Villalon J. 35. Rojas L. 13. Ureta L. (G) 10. Vargas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Munoz C. ↓, Ribas S. ↑,
45+2', Cardenas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Gomez T. 🟨,
58', Gomez T. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Flores J. ⚽,
62', Egana K. ↓, Calisto F. ↑,
69', Vasquez K. ↓, Valenzuela R. ↑,
69', Ibanez I. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
69', Cardenas J. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
69', Flores J. ↓, Rojas L. A. ↑,
72', Rojas L. A. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez D. ↓, Navarrete J. ↑,
81', Acuna S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Vazquez L. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
90+2', Navarrete J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 1.

Rangers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Puerto Montt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	D. Puerto Montt	26	10	4	12	26:34	-8	34
16	Rangers	26	4	6	16	23:42	-19	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica	2:3 ✺
30.03.26	Deportes Magallanes - Rangers de Talca	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.09.23	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:1
30.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	1:0
31.10.22	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
01.06.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	0:0
04.10.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	3:1
01.06.21	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0

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