Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:45	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	20:45	Fanatiz
International	00:45	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.00	3.30	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.10
	2.25	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.40	3.28	3.35
	2.25	3.43	3.16
	2.35	3.20	3.20
	2.36	3.15	3.22	Watch
	2.35	3.15	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.19)	3.2 ↑ (3.12)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
40.8%

Draw
29.7%

Defensa y Justicia
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 27. Rubio T. 4. Rocha M. 26. Luduena J. 18. Ayala L. 11. Luna Diale M. 8. Giaccone E. 17. Mosqueira J. 10. Malcorra I. 25. Tarragona C. (C) 43. Ramirez E.	1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 30. Dominguez D. 15. Sosa S. 8. Perez C. 26. Lucco J. 19. Barbona D. 24. Gutierrez J. 9. Fernandez L. (C)
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 36. Aimar M. 38. Cerrudo V. J. 22. Cuello B. 19. Estigarribia M. 33. Isla I. 40. Meuli L. (G) 20. Palacios J. 34. Peresutti M. 15. Pintado J. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.	36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 17. Hausch A. 5. Lopez J. 20. Palavecino N. 7. Perez T. 11. Perrotta T. 22. Porcel M. 16. Portillo A. 40. Rodriguez M. 32. Roselli N.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Mosqueira J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Barbona D. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Perez C. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
45+5', Lucco J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mosqueira J. ↓, Cuello B. ↑,
60', Perez C. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
66', Fernandez L. 🟨,
67', Ayala L. 🟨,
68', Ramirez E. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
68', Luna Diale M. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
71', Palacios J. 🟨,
74', Lucco J. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
74', Fernandez L. ↓, Perrotta T. ↑,
76', Sosa S. 🟥,
78', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
79', Barbona D. ↓, Burdin E. ↑,
79', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
81', Ayala L. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
85', Tarragona C. 🟨,
88', Rubio T. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1.

In recent outings, Unión has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Defensa y Justicia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Unión is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Unión: Cerrudo V. J. (Inactive) Fagioli T. (Inactive) Vargas L. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Defensa y Justicia: Banega E. (Inactive) Molinas A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Inactive) Souto L. (Back Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unión has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unión against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Defensa y Justicia: 5.36% Union de Santa Fe: 1.07%

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Defensa y Justicia - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.26	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.26	Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Central Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Defensa y Justicia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0
14.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0
15.12.24	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:1
24.10.23	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	2:0

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