Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.63	Watch
	3	3.1	2.37
	2.92	3	2.58	Watch
	3	3.04	2.58
	3.03	2.93	2.64
	2.88	3	2.6
	2.99	2.95	2.62	Watch
	2.92	3	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3 ↓ (3.18)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
31.9%

Draw
31.4%

Racing
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Unión Santa Fe - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 22. Gerometta F. 32. Paz N. 34. Pardo F. 3. Corvalan C. (C) 11. Del Blanco M. 8. Ham E. 24. Profini R. 7. Fragapane F. 9. Domina J. 31. Estigarribia M.	21. Arias G. (C) 23. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 35. Quiros S. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 16. Barrios M. 27. Rojas G. 10. Vietto L. 9. Adrian Martinez 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
23. Arturia G. 21. Colazo A. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 18. Gamba L. 16. Martinez M. 20. Palacios J. 14. Pitton B. 28. Pitton M. 1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 10. Verde L.	32. Almendra A. E. 77. Balboa A. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 41. Degregorio R. M. 3. Di Cesare M. 43. Escudero G. 24. Fernandez A. 20. German Conti 49. Gonzalez D. 34. Mura F. 19. Rodriguez I. 11. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Arias G. 🟥,
30', Vietto L. ↓, Cambeses F. ↑,
35', Profini R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Profini R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
46', Barrios M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
56', Paz N. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
56', Fragapane F. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Salas M. (A),
66', Ham E. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
67', Domina J. 🟨,
73', Domina J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
81', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
86', Balboa A. 🟨,
87', Salas M. 🟨,
90', Salas M. ↓, Mura F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Unión: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Canete E. (Knee Injury) Pitton B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Zuculini B. (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Unión won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Banfield	3:1 ✺
10.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
03.03.25	San Lorenzo - Racing	3:2 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
27.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Racing	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.24	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.01.24	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
18.08.23	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.23	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	1:3
25.09.22	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.22	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.21	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	1:1

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