Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.91
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.15	1.94
	3.74	3.21	1.97
	3.74	3.22	1.96
	3.77	3.18	1.99
	3.75	3.15	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.42)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	1.95 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
24.2%

Draw
29%

Talavera de la Reina
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Unión Sur Yaiza - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
33', 0 - 1, Cambra J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Arroyo N. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Arroyo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Bolado Marigomez P. 🟥,
70', 0 - 4, Navarro I. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Unión Sur Yaiza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión Sur Yaiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Talavera will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Sur Yaiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Colonia Moscardó	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife B	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0

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