Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Osrodek Sportu i Rekreacji (Skierniewice)


	Unia Skierniewice		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.31
				Watch
	8.08	4.88	1.3
	8.74	5.02	1.33	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.29
	8.8	4.9	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↑ (7.15)	4.86 ↑ (4.53)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
11%

Draw
18.8%

Motor Lublin
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

20%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

19.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Unia Skierniewice - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 39. Cegielka M. 7. Czarnecki J. 20. Kosior M. 5. Kowalczyk K. (C) 10. Papikyan A. 9. Sabillo K. 19. Soltysinski S. 28. Stepien M. 21. Szmyd M. 55. Wolinski E.	1. Rosa K. (G) 39. Bartos M. 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 55. Gasior M. 24. Luberecki F. 3. Romanowski P. 21. Rudol S. 22. Simon C. 19. Van Hoeven B. 9. Welniak K. 17. Wojcik F.
Substitutes
14. Kwiatkowski J. 11. Lapinski S. 6. Makuch D. 2. Rosinski M. 12. Rychlica 27. Supera K. 99. Yavorskyi V. 45. Zajac F.	40. Brkic I. (G) 11. Caliskaner K. 26. Krol M. 18. Najemski A. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 47. Palacz K. 37. Scalet M. 28. Stolarski P. 68. Wolski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Papikyan A. ⚽,
34', Gasior M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Wolski B. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Luberecki F. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
61', Gasior M. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
61', Welniak K. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
61', Ceglarz P. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
75', Romanowski P. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Rudol S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
98', 🟨,
109', 🟨,
120+3', 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Scalet M. (Pen),
1, Stepien M. (Pen),
2, Wolski B. (Pen),
2, Soltysinski S. (Pen),
3, Rudol S. (Pen),
3, Kowalczyk K. (Pen),
4, Caliskaner K. (Pen),
4, Lapinski S. (Pen),
5, Wojcik F. (Pen),
5, Sabillo K. (Pen),

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Unia Skierniewice have a series of guest games.

Recently Motor have a series of home games.

In this match Motor is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	ŁKS Łomża - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Unia Skierniewice - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.24	Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Stal Mielec - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.24	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

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