Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Armenia	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	10:30	SportyNet
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Estonia	16:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	16:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Moldova	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Tajikistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Turkmenistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Uzbekistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Union Berlin		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.50	1.50	Watch
	5.25	4.50	1.55
	5.40	4.35	1.52	Watch
	6.00	4.75	1.56
	5.3	4.38	1.63	Watch
	5.85	4.60	1.51
	5.70	4.73	1.59	Watch
	5.80	4.80	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (4.55)	4.58 ↑ (4.34)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
16.9%

Draw
21%

Borussia Dortmund
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.9%

21.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.7%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	0%	92.2%

Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Union Berlin (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Borussia Dortmund (1.60) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.78% – 99.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Borussia D (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 19. Haberer J. 4. Van Den Bosch Z. 2. Uduokhai F. 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 8. Khedira R. (C) 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 20. Aebischer M. 30. Imeri K. 21. Skarke T.	1. Kobel G. (G) 22. Gadou J. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 18. Nwaneri E. 14. Beier M. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
32. Gray M. 49. Guther L. 6. Kemlein A. 17. Kohn D. 29. Latte Lath E. 27. Ljubicic M. 14. Querfeld L. 31. Raab M. (G) 28. Trimmel C.	41. Albert M. 5. Bensebaini R. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 19. Karetsas K. 33. Meyer A. (G) 36. Prates K. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 25. Veerman J.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Nwaneri E. 🟨,
7', Anton W. 🟨,
14', Guirassy S. 🟨,
33', Haberer J. 🟨,
35', Rothe T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Imeri K. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
62', Beier M. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
62', Nwaneri E. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
63', Skarke T. 🟨,
70', Skarke T. ↓, Gray M. ↑,
70', Karetsas K. ↓, Albert M. ↑,
76', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
76', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
90+3', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Guther L. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Bundesliga (Relegation) and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.

Union Berlin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Borussia D is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Union Berlin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Borussia D for this game.

Confirmed absences for Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Illness) Juranovic J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Markgraf A. (Knee Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Konstantelias G. (Knee Injury) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Union Berlin: Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:45 (averaging 1.1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Union Berlin against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 7.11% Union Berlin: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Rijeka - Union Berlin	0:1
German Bundesliga
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL
- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Bodø Glimt - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.10.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
31.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	3:0
22.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	6:0
05.10.24	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
02.03.24	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:2
07.10.23	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	4:2
08.04.23	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	2:1

Upcoming Matches