Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 6
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	FOX+, FOX One
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Augsburg		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.70	4.20	4.33
	1.7	4.2	4.35	Watch
	1.75	4.3	4.61
	1.75	4.35	4.07	Watch
	1.71	4.1	4.55
	1.72	4.15	4.55	Watch
	1.71	4.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	4.23 ↑ (3.99)	4.43 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
55.7%

Draw
22.7%

Union Berlin
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	6.5%	17.4%

Augsburg - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 8 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 63.8% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Augsburg (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Augsburg (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Augsburg will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 35. Bah J. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 30. Kade A. 21. Ibrahimovic A. 11. Gregoritsch M.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 19. Haberer J. 4. Van Den Bosch Z. 2. Uduokhai F. 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 8. Khedira R. (C) 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 20. Aebischer M. 9. Burcu L. 21. Skarke T.
Substitutes
19. Fellhauer R. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 9. Ribeiro R. 37. Schnitzer T. 7. Seol Young-Woo	7. Burke O. 32. Gray M. 6. Kemlein A. 17. Kohn D. 29. Latte Lath E. 27. Ljubicic M. 14. Querfeld L. 31. Raab M. (G) 28. Trimmel C.
Coaches
Baum M.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Brackelmann C. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
19', Uduokhai F. 🟥,
25', Burcu L. ↓, Querfeld L. ↑,
31', Haberer J. 🟨,
36', Querfeld L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Skarke T. ↓, Gray M. ↑,
63', Bah J. 🟥,
71', 1 - 0, Massengo H. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
72', Wolf M. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
72', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Haberer J. ⚽,
76', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burke O. ↑,
77', Gray M. 🟨,
89', Massengo H. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
89', Kade A. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
90+5', Aebischer M. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Augsburg (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Union Berlin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Augsburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Augsburg: Banks N. (Knee Injury) Mounie S. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Illness) Markgraf A. (Knee Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Augsburg: Claude-Maurice A. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Union Berlin: Imeri K. (Injury) Juranovic J. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Augsburg has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:16 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Augsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29% Union Berlin: 0.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Union Berlin - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 26.3%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Elversberg - Augsburg	4:3 ✺
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTLT
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Rijeka - Union Berlin	0:1
German Bundesliga
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Union Berlin - Augsburg	4:0
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1
17.05.25	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:2
15.01.25	Union Berlin - Augsburg	0:2
12.04.24	Augsburg - Union Berlin	2:0
25.11.23	Union Berlin - Augsburg	1:1
06.05.23	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:0

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