Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 25

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Boike J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	TV2 Play
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Union Berlin		TSG Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.65	1.92
	2.88	3.77	2.22
	3.32	3.76	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.22	3.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.78)	3.7 ↓ (3.98)	1.99 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
29.3%

Draw
24.8%

TSG Hoffenheim
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23.3%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Hoffenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Berlin - TSG Hoffenheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bosl C. (G) 21. Weiss A. 26. Tysiak A. 19. Steuerwald S. 17. Steinert J. 41. Kamber L. 9. Weidauer S. 27. Hipp J. 7. Heiseler L. (C) 14. Eurlings H. 10. Campbell E.	1. Dick L. (G) 9. Janssens J. 13. Douma W. 14. Doorn L. 5. Rankin J. 18. Ampoorter V. 6. Diehm V. (C) 26. Grimm J. 25. Van Dijk N. 29. Cerci S. 19. Steiner M.
Substitutes
23. Bauereisen N. 28. Bohi N. (G) 25. Heikkinen I. 3. Helgesen S. 20. Koster L. 77. Moraitou A. 5. Orschmann K. 42. Reissner N. 24. Sakar F.	30. Bitzer N. 3. Byrnak E. 24. Delacauw F. 20. Gloning L. 16. Grabowska D. 23. Hahn C. 17. Harsch F. 7. Luyet N. 27. Schmid J. (G)
Coaches
Poese A.	Virsinger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Janssens J. ⚽, Cerci S. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Van Dijk N. ⚽, Cerci S. (A),
26', Doorn L. ↓, Harsch F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Van Dijk N. ↓, Luyet N. ↑,
58', Harsch F. 🟨,
58', Weiss A. ↓, Reissner N. ↑,
58', Heiseler L. ↓, Bauereisen N. ↑,
68', Grimm J. ↓, Gloning L. ↑,
68', Ampoorter V. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
76', Steinert J. ↓, Orschmann K. ↑,
76', Weidauer S. ↓, Sakar F. ↑,
76', Hipp J. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
85', Janssens J. ↓, Delacauw F. ↑,
90', Eurlings H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hoffenheim could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Union Berlin W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
11	Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
01.05.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:3 ✺
23.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTWT
- TSG Hoffenheim Women
German Bundesliga Women
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Köln	6:2 ✺
29.03.26	Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - TSG Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
07.12.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:0

Union Berlin - TSG Hoffenheim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide