Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Union Carl Berner		Vålerenga 2

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.33	3.40
	1.66	4.15	3.7
	1.78	3.94	3.37
	1.68	4.4	3.79	Watch
	1.76	3.9	3.3
	1.7	5.36	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.18)	4.35 ↓ (4.4)	3.47 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Carl Berner
53%

Draw
20.9%

Vålerenga 2
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

20.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

20.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Carl Berner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Carl Berner's performance.

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Carl Berner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Carl Berner - Vålerenga 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Rimestad F. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Myrbakk J. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Skogli O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 4 - 0, Bertelsen M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 4th).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Union Carl Berner has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	25	14	1	10	58:64	-6	43
7	Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	45:41	4	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.10.26	Ready - Union Carl Berner	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Union Carl Berner - Lokomotiv Oslo	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Union Carl Berner - KFUM 2	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Frigg Oslo	6:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bærum - Union Carl Berner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.10.26	Vålerenga 2 - Frigg Oslo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Nordstrand - Vålerenga 2	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.06.26	Vålerenga 2 - Union Carl Berner	2:1

Union Carl Berner - Vålerenga 2