Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Nordstrand		Vålerenga 2

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	3.90
	1.81	4.10	2.90
	1.68	4.36	3.45
	1.86	4.5	3.05	Watch
	1.65	4.30	3.45
	1.43	5.63	4.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.63)	4.61 ↑ (3.95)	3.6 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordstrand
54.9%

Draw
19.8%

Vålerenga 2
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

22.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

22.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordstrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordstrand's performance.

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordstrand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nordstrand - Vålerenga 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nordstrand (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nordstrand (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Morrow B. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Apold-Aasen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 3, Apold-Aasen L. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 4th).

Recent results have been tough for Nordstrand (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Vålerenga 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nordstrand has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52:56	-4	40
12	Nordstrand	22	6	2	14	36:51	-15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.09.26	Asker Fotball - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nordstrand - Lokomotiv Oslo	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bærum - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Nordstrand - Grei	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL
- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Konnerud	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
06.06.26	Vålerenga 2 - Nordstrand	3:2

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