Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Virgilio Tejeira Andrion (Penonomé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Union Cocle		Independiente de la Chorrera

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.58	2.82	Watch
	2.79	2.66	2.91
	2.74	2.84	2.84	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.63
	2.68	2.62	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.97)	2.68 ↓ (2.98)	2.8 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Cocle
33.6%

Draw
33.9%

Independiente de la Chorrera
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Cocle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente de la Chorrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Cocle than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente de la Chorrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Cocle - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Espinosa S. (G) 2. Edmund D. 25. Reluz J. 29. Moreno G. 8. Oakley K. (C) 16. Gamboa C. 6. Reyna C. 7. Carmona M. 11. Rodriguez R. 31. Herrera R. 19. Lynch J.	1. Rodriguez A. (G) 4. Hormechea C. 5. Angulo Garces K. J. 21. Modelo J. 7. Caicedo A. 8. Ramirez Y. 10. Aguila R. (C) 13. Arboleda J. 16. Obando J. 19. Petit D. 25. Contreras D.
Substitutes
17. Arenales A. 18. Diaz C. 21. Gallardo A. 4. Gerald J. 26. Herrera J. 20. Hurtado A. 9. Isidoro 23. Perez R. 1. Uribe Colorado J. J. (G)	9. Tejada L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Union Cocle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Cocle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente de la Chorrera - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Cocle
Liga Panamena de Futbol
28.03.26	Plaza Amador - Union Cocle	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Union Cocle - Alianza Panama	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	UMECIT - Union Cocle	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Union Cocle - Sporting San Miguelito	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Tauro - Union Cocle	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTLW
- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
30.03.26	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.01.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Union Cocle	0:0

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