The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente de la Chorrera 26.9%
Draw 26.9%
Plaza Amador 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
27.9%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
27.6%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Independiente de la Chorrera - Plaza Amador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez A. (G) 74. Reyes R. 13. Negrete G. 52. Cifuentes A. 15. Giron J. 11. Valverde A. 18. Giron E. 8. Ramirez Y. (C) 10. Gonzalez J. 9. Tejada L. 25. Contreras D.
45. Lozano E. (G) 3. Cordoba O. 16. Yearwood R. 5. Cordoba F. 18. Rodriguez J. 12. Taivez J. 20. Murillo J. (C) 21. Murillo D. 22. Walters K. 13. Rose E. 27. Rios H.
Substitutes
5. Angulo Garces K. J. 43. Gomez V. 36. Guerra H. 83. Leon G. (G) 20. McKenzie A. 27. Morales A. 76. Tull A. 22. Waterman B.
23. Allen M. (G) 31. Davis E. 49. Julio A. 14. Knight A. 15. Murillo Y. 11. Phillips R. 30. Ryce A. 4. Sanchez J. 7. Sanchez J. 17. Valencia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Rose E. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Tejada L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
51', Ramirez Y. 🟨,
58', Rose E. ↓, Phillips R. ↑,
58', Murillo D. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Tejada L. ⚽,
71', Valverde A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
76', Cordoba F. ↓, Knight A. ↑,
76', Murillo J. ↓, Ryce A. ↑,
77', Walters K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
81', Contreras D. ↓, Waterman B. ↑,
81', Tejada L. ↓, Tull A. ↑,
90+3', Ramirez Y. ↓, Angulo Garces K. J. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plaza Amador has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Plaza Amador could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.07%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.