Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Unione Sanremo		Vado

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.7
	3.25	3.35	1.98
	4.17	3.64	1.73	Watch
	4.33	3.55	1.7
	3.33	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unione Sanremo
23.7%

Draw
26.3%

Vado
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.9%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unione Sanremo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Unione Sanremo - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Grosso E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Djorkaeff O. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Girgi A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unione Sanremo won 0.

Recent performances by Unione Sanremo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vado is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vado is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unione Sanremo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Unione Sanremo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sanremese	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Club Milano - Unione Sanremo	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Imperia	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Unione Sanremo - Saluzzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Biellese - Vado	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vado - NovaRomentin	6:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cairese - Vado	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vado - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Vado - Gozzano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.09.25	Vado - Unione Sanremo	2:0
02.03.25	Vado - Unione Sanremo	1:1
03.03.24	Vado - Unione Sanremo	1:0
29.10.23	Unione Sanremo - Vado	0:0
21.05.23	Unione Sanremo - Vado	1:1
06.04.23	Vado - Unione Sanremo	2:2
27.11.22	Unione Sanremo - Vado	1:1

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