Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.83	3.83	3.76
	1.83	3.5	3.7
	1.76	3.58	3.94
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.05)	3.62 ↑ (3.41)	3.88 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
51.2%

Draw
25.2%

Atherton Collieries
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gainsborough Trinity's performance.

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainsborough Trinity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atherton Collieries could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 3.

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atherton Collieries is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Worksop Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTW
- Atherton Collieries
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	2:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Radcliffe	0:4 ✺
28.08.23	Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Basford United - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
15.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	2:2
22.03.22	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
23.10.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	1:0
25.01.20	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3
12.10.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	0:2

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