Match Info

Date: 23 November 2020, Monday


	Universidad Católica		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.48	4	5.75
	1.5	3.85	5.6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.2
	1.52	4.23	6.45
	1.47	4.2	6	Watch
	1.5	4.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.18 ↓ (4.34)	5.72 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
61.9%

Draw
22%

Mushuc Runa
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.2%

18%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	20%	28%

Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 15).

Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mushuc Runa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
22.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.11.20	El Nacional - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.11.20	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Universidad Católica - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.11.20	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.11.20	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
11.11.20	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
05.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
31.10.20	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.08.20	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	1:2
28.09.19	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	1:1
04.05.19	Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa	1:0
15.10.16	Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa	6:1
25.09.16	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	1:1
09.07.16	Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa	1:1
21.02.16	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	2:1

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