Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Universidad Católica		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.62	3.7	5.25
	1.64	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.78	5.08
	1.6	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.07)	3.68 ↑ (3)	5.06 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
56.3%

Draw
25.3%

Santos
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61%	7.3%	31.7%

Universidad Católica - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Santos will win (votes: 13 - 31.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 46.1% – 75.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Sporting Cristal - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
28.04.22	Universidad Católica - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Universidad Católica - Banfield	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.22	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.22	São Paulo - Santos	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Unión La Calera - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.04.22	Santos - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Coritiba - Santos	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.04.22	Santos - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	Santos - Universidad Católica	3:2

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