Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Coritiba		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.7	2.45	Watch
	3.05	2.72	2.58	Watch
	3.39	2.89	2.62
	3.22	2.6	2.71	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.96	3.02	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.52)	2.79 ↓ (2.84)	2.56 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
29.7%

Draw
33.6%

Santos
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

32.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coritiba's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Coritiba - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 23. Tiago Coser 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 36. Vini Paulista 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 32. Pedro Rocha	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 98. Frias A. 4. Lucas Verissimo 31. Escobar G. 28. Oliva C. 5. Joao Schmidt 49. Gabriel Bontempo 32. Rollheiser B. 22. Barreal A. 10. Neymar (C)
Substitutes
15. Ararat A. 77. Breno Lopes 14. Enzo Vagner 6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 13. Keiller (G) 86. Lucas Taverna 78. Renato Marques 4. Rodrigo Moledo 21. Thiago Santos 8. Wallisson	19. Diaz L. 1. Diogenes (G) 9. Gabriel Barbosa 25. Gabriel Menino 48. Gustavo Henrique 26. Joao Ananias 12. Mayke 30. Miguelito 21. Moises 7. Robinho Jr. 11. Rony 15. Willian Arao
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Tinga ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
6', Joao Schmidt ↓, Willian Arao ↑,
20', 0 - 1, Gabriel Bontempo ⚽, Neymar (A),
28', 0 - 2, Frias A. ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
36', Frias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lavega J. ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
48', Escobar G. 🟨,
60', Vini Paulista ↓, Gustavo ↑,
60', Tiago Coser 🟨,
68', Tiago Coser ↓, Lucas Taverna ↑,
68', Lucas Ronier ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
70', Rollheiser B. ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
70', Barreal A. ↓, Rony ↑,
72', Oliva C. 🟨,
84', Neymar ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
84', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
88', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Menino 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santos has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Coritiba - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Grêmio - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	San Lorenzo - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	Bahia - Santos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.24	Coritiba - Santos	0:2
22.07.24	Santos - Coritiba	4:0
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.23	Santos - Coritiba	2:1
10.06.23	Coritiba - Santos	0:0
08.08.22	Coritiba - Santos	1:2
Copa do Brasil
12.05.22	Santos - Coritiba	3:0

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