Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Bentín Tacna Heroica

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.9
	1.72	3.44	4.01
	1.51	4.33	5.45	Watch
	1.78	3.62	3.83
	2.04	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	4.05 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
52.3%

Draw
24.9%

Bentín Tacna Heroica
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentín Tacna Heroica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bentín Tacna Heroica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad César Vallejo - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. César Vallejo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tacna Heroica (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rabines M. (G)
72. Ascues A.
31. Caballero E.
21. Cavero S.
8. Cornejo M.
5. Da Rosa F.
17. Morales J. (C)
27. Quispe J.
4. Romero A.
90. Succar A.
36. Tenorio
Substitutes
9. Carando D.
22. Cordova B.
77. Cortez J.
15. Grandez G.
10. Ramirez A.
11. Rojas Castilla A. S.
50. Sanchez S.
80. Sandoval V.
1. Vargas J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Banega F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
35', de la Cruz P. ↓, Enciso S. ↑,
38', Suarez R. 🟨,
42', Caballero E. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Malpartida M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Cavero S. ↓, Rojas Castilla A. S. ↑,
46', Succar A. ↓, Carando D. ↑,
46', Rabines M. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
48', Sotillo M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Rojas Castilla A. S. ⚽,
57', Suarez R. 🟨,
61', Caballero E. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
65', Tenorio J. ↓, Grandez G. ↑,
76', Fajardo J. ↓, Sainz O. ↑,
76', Santillan Vargas E. M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
76', Malpartida M. ↓, Valdez V. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Grandez G. ⚽,
83', Morales J. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Carando D. ⚽,
90+5', Cornejo M. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Ascues A. ⚽,
90+6', Ascues A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, César Vallejo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tacna Heroica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

César Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

César Vallejo could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
27.07.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Pirata	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTWW
- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
02.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cajamarca - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Moquegua	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Cantolao - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTWT

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