Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Bentín Tacna Heroica		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.02	3.24	3.32
	1.43	4.63	6.35	Watch
	2.04	3.26	3.31
	2.02	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.22)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	3.88 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentín Tacna Heroica
49.2%

Draw
26.5%

Moquegua
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentín Tacna Heroica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bentín Tacna Heroica's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moquegua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bentín Tacna Heroica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moquegua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bentín Tacna Heroica - Moquegua Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	29. Figueroa R. (G)
	10. Chavez N.
	90. Collazos J.
	16. Davila A.
	30. Granda J.
	6. Jimenez J.
	23. Jimenez J.
	7. Lasso C.
	22. Montenegro E.
	8. Sanchez D.
	5. Vasquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 🟨,
12', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Tacna Heroica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moquegua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacna Heroica could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tacna Heroica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
06.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Cantolao - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Santos	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Unión Comercio - Bentín Tacna Heroica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWL
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
06.07.25	Unión Comercio - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Moquegua - Deportivo Coopsol	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Comerciantes Belén - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Moquegua - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1

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