Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Cajamarca		Bentín Tacna Heroica

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.48	3.95	5.35
	1.48	3.94	5.63
	1.44	4.40	6.82	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	4.11 ↑ (4.03)	5.85 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
62.3%

Draw
22.1%

Bentín Tacna Heroica
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bentín Tacna Heroica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Cajamarca - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sandi M. (G)
9. Basan L.
11. Campos A.
25. Goyoneche P. (C)
5. Iglesias M.
15. Layza M.
2. Merino B.
18. Mesias Silva P. C.
29. Ocas F.
4. Segura J.
26. Timana H.
Substitutes
. Bernaola B.
. Casquete A.
. Chavez D.
. Guevara R.
. Jimenez J.
. Medina J. (G)
. Meza C.
. Quintanilla Y.
. Sanchez A.
. Tello Y.
. Vega J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Malpartida M. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ocas F. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
51', 🟨,
51', 🟥,
57', Enciso S. 🟨,
67', Segura J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
67', Campos A. ↓, Casquete A. ↑,
70', Garcia J. ↓, Banega F. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Basan L. ⚽,
90+2', Goyoneche P. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 2, Santillan Vargas E. M. (Pen),

Preview

Cajamarca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tacna Heroica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tacna Heroica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cajamarca is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cajamarca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
19.07.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Cajamarca - Pirata	3:0 ✺
29.06.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	5:1 ✺
20.06.25	Cajamarca - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	ADA Jaén - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWL
- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
20.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Moquegua	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Cantolao - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Santos	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa
22.12.24	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties

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